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How Republican Mitt Romney’s vice presidential pick
would change Medicare has
been getting a lot of attention, but Rep. Paul Ryan’s (R-WI) proposed
cuts to the Medicaid program, which Mr. Romney and the Republican party
have now adopted, are bigger and arguably more drastic.
Although most Medicaid recipients are poor children and their
families, the program also covers the cost of nursing home and other
long-term care for more than 4.4 million Americans, most of them
elderly. In addition, Medicaid helps millions of low-income seniors
afford Medicare.
As with his Medicare proposal, Ryan’s plan for changing Medicaid,
which has twice passed the Republican-led House, is all about shifting
costs away from the federal government and onto others. Whereas with
Medicare Ryan would limit the federal government’s exposure and shift
additional costs to seniors, in the case of Medicaid Ryan would shift
the risk to the states and ultimately to beneficiaries, including
seniors. But, unlike with Medicare, the change would start right away.
The proposal would turn federal Medicaid funding to states into a "block grant," something
proposed by George W. Bush in
2003 and by Newt Gingrich in 1995. Rather than the current system,
under which the federal government matches every dollar that states
spend on Medicaid, under the Ryan plan starting next year states would
receive a fixed amount every year, which would only increase with
population growth and the overall cost of living. The grants would be
indexed to grow much more slowly than health care costs and would not
take account of economic downturns or natural disasters like Hurricane
Katrina, when Medicaid rolls temporarily expand.
The result, according to an analysis by the non-partisan
Congressional Budget Office, is that by 2022 federal funding for
Medicaid would fall 35 percent below what the government now is
projected to provide states, and the shortfall would be 49 percent by
2030.
States are hardly likely to make up for this dramatic funding loss by
boosting their own Medicaid spending. Instead, they will find ways to
cut people, including some applicants for long-term care coverage, from
Medicaid eligibility. How many people? According to
an Urban Institute analysis, between 14 million and 27 million fewer Americans would be covered by Medicaid in 2021 than under the current system.
Not only would millions more citizens be uninsured or underinsured,
but states would reduce benefits and cut already-low payment rates to
health care providers, meaning that more doctors, hospitals, and nursing
homes would refuse Medicaid patients. It would be easier for states to
make these changes than under current law because the Ryan plan would
give states additional flexibility in designing their Medicaid programs
and eligibility criteria. Key protections for nursing home residents,
such as those protecting residents' spouses from impoverishment and
setting limits on when states can place liens on homes, could go by the
wayside.
Ryan would also overturn the new health reform law, the Affordable
Care Act, thus preventing 11 million people from gaining Medicaid
coverage by 2022, according to Congressional Budget Office
estimates.
This means that the total number of Americans that the Ryan plan would
cut from the Medicaid program could approach 40 million.
Ryan and his supporters point to the savings to the federal budget
over the next decade: about $750 billion through the block grants and
$642 billion by repealing the Affordable Care Act. This, they contend,
will address Medicaid's growth. Since June 2007, just before the start
of the recession, some 10 million people have been added to Medicaid's
rolls.
Update: the proposed changes to Medicaid are now part of the Republican party platform.
More resources:
Primer: How Paul Ryan's Plan Would Change Medicaid (PBS NewsHour)
Is Medicaid Doomed? How Ryan's Plan Would Affect America's Very Poorest (
The Atlantic)
Paul Ryan’s biggest budget cuts are to Medicaid, not Medicare (
The Washington Post)
How the Ryan Budget (and Republican Platform) Would Hurt Current Nursing Home Residents (Center for Medicare Advocacy)
Reprinted with the permission of ElderLawAnswers.